Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.203236 0.233193 0.266875 0.307707 0.356080 0.411815 0.481262
2025-11-09 0.154968 0.193640 0.241750 0.306693 0.393126 0.505712 0.665963
2025-11-16 0.126579 0.167963 0.223311 0.304165 0.421678 0.590129 0.857144
2025-11-23 0.106999 0.148684 0.207650 0.299352 0.442487 0.664641 1.050740
2025-11-30 0.095980 0.138823 0.202481 0.307160 0.481495 0.772800 1.325532
2025-12-07 0.084538 0.126291 0.190862 0.302051 0.497585 0.845620 1.558818
2025-12-14 0.076740 0.118092 0.184448 0.303746 0.524666 0.942624 1.866744
2025-12-21 0.069961 0.110528 0.177803 0.303552 0.547695 1.036562 2.198424
2025-12-28 0.065500 0.106163 0.175806 0.311098 0.586536 1.170920 2.668299
2026-01-04 0.061190 0.101489 0.172555 0.315572 0.619832 1.301514 3.179275
2026-01-11 0.057437 0.097332 0.169637 0.320089 0.653938 1.442577 3.776625
2026-01-18 0.054629 0.094545 0.168863 0.328729 0.698838 1.621726 4.565515
2026-01-25 0.051268 0.090449 0.165226 0.331102 0.730674 1.779541 5.377216
2026-02-01 0.047991 0.086188 0.160784 0.331106 0.757134 1.932091 6.260204
2026-02-08 0.044816 0.081802 0.155569 0.328542 0.776648 2.071486 7.180206
2026-02-15 0.041735 0.077302 0.149603 0.323310 0.788091 2.190800 8.098309
2026-02-22 0.040134 0.075623 0.149407 0.331866 0.839354 2.454052 9.827804
2026-03-01 0.037545 0.071670 0.143836 0.326273 0.849093 2.582690 11.027474
2026-03-08 0.035751 0.069220 0.141334 0.328129 0.881544 2.803951 12.889515
2026-03-15 0.033962 0.066621 0.138216 0.327916 0.907782 3.013175 14.883620
2026-03-22 0.032874 0.065443 0.138246 0.336181 0.963310 3.360486 18.084052
2026-03-29 0.031646 0.063844 0.137113 0.341082 1.009175 3.689398 21.564770
2026-04-05 0.030504 0.062340 0.136045 0.346031 1.056755 4.049067 25.759614